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Cover of Thinking in Bets

Thinking in Bets

Annie Duke · 2018 · Book

A practical guide to making better decisions by treating life like poker—embracing uncertainty and learning from outcomes rather than results. Perfect for anyone wanting to think more clearly about risk and probability in everyday choices.

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    Kahneman's foundational work on cognitive biases and heuristics underpins Duke's framework for better decision-making under uncertainty.

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  2. Nudge

    Thaler and Sunstein explore how small changes in choice architecture improve decisions, extending Duke's practical approach to real-world contexts.

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  3. Essentialism

    McKeown's method for prioritising decisions aligns with Duke's emphasis on disciplined thinking about what matters most.

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    Taleb explores how to thrive amid uncertainty and randomness, deepening Duke's poker-informed philosophy of risk and decision-making.

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    Tetlock studies how expert forecasters make better probabilistic judgments, extending Duke's framework with empirical research on prediction.

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